XAUUSD Daily Forecast Nov 19, 2025 Gold rallies to 4,090 targeting key resistance at 4,120. Technical analysis, key levels, and trade setups for today.
1. Chart Analysis & Current Structure (H4, H1, M30 Data)
Current Price: Trading around $4,080.
- H4 Structure: The 4-hour chart reveals a significant recovery from the major demand zone established at 3,920. After a steep correction from the All-Time Highs (ATH) near 4,400, price action has shifted. Gold is currently challenging a dynamic descending trendline. The structure suggests a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders or a Bullish Flag breakout, provided the price can stabilize above the psychological 4,000 handle. The market has printed a higher low, indicating early signs of trend reversal.
- H1/M30 Action: Intraday timeframes (H1 and M30) show strong bullish momentum. The price has successfully broken above local resistance structures (labeled “Break Res” on charts) and is currently holding above the 4,040 flip zone. Recent candlesticks display buying pressure with minimal wicks on the downside, suggesting bulls are in control. However, the price is approaching a minor supply shelf near 4,100 – 4,120 which may trigger a short-term consolidation.
- Overall Bias: The market bias is currently Bullish because the price has reclaimed key structural support at 4,040 and is creating a sequence of higher highs and higher lows on the hourly timeframe.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels (8 Levels from Charts)
These levels are derived directly from the H4 and H1 market structure and order blocks visible on the provided charts.
- Major Resistance (ATH Zone): 4,380 – 4,400
- Resistance 2: 4,240 – 4,250 (Previous Swing High)
- Resistance 1: 4,160 – 4,175 (Key Supply)
- Immediate Resistance: 4,100 – 4,120
- Pivot Area: 4,050 – 4,060
- Support 1 (Flip Zone): 4,030 – 4,040
- Support 2 (Key Demand): 3,980 – 4,000
- Support 3 (Major Low): 3,920
3. Primary Trade Setup
Identify Primary Setup Setup A Long (Buy on Dip) Given the H1 breakout and the H4 recovery structure, the highest probability setup is to follow the momentum, entering on a retest of the broken resistance which is now support.
- Plan: Wait for a minor pullback to the H1 support/breakout zone to ensure a better Risk-to-Reward ratio. Do not chase the price at the 4,100 top. Watch for rejection wicks around 4,050.
- Entry: 4,045 – 4,055 (Aggressive entry: 4,065).
- SL: 4,015 (Below the recent consolidation low).
- TP1: 4,110
- TP2: 4,160 (Extension target).
4. Short-Term Forecast (Next 24–72 Hours) – Key Scenarios
- Scenario 1 (Most Likely – Bullish Continuation) Price action consolidates slightly below 4,100 to gather liquidity, retests the 4,050 region, and then launches a breakout toward 4,160. This aligns with the “SR Breaks and Retests” indicator showing recent bullish confirmations.
- Scenario 2 (Immediate Breakout) High volatility pushes XAUUSD directly through 4,120 without a deep pullback. In this case, the next major stop is 4,240.
- Scenario 3 (Reversal/Failure) If bears defend the 4,120 level aggressively and push price back below 4,000, the bullish bias is invalidated. We would expect a retest of the major lows at 3,920.
What is the current trend for XAUUSD on November 19, 2025
The trend is short-term bullish as price recovers from 3,920, though it faces dynamic resistance on the H4 chart.
What is the key resistance level to watch today
The immediate resistance is the 4,100 – 4,120 zone. A break above this opens the path to 4,160.
Where is the best buy entry for Gold today
A retest of the breakout zone between 4,045 and 4,055 offers the best risk-to-reward ratio for long positions.
Has Gold broken its All-Time High
No, the ATH remains around the 4,400 level (red zone on H4), while the current price is trading near 4,090.
What invalidates the bullish setup
Yes, A daily candle close below 4,000 would invalidate the current recovery and likely send prices back toward 3,920.
